Case Study

The case study below will perfectly illustrate the difference that utilising a well-developed, comprehensive Race Plan can make.
It is, in essence, the difference between winning and losing.

The client wanted to buy a horse from an upcoming sale to achieve a quick win or two.

The case study below will perfectly illustrate the difference that utilising a well-developed, comprehensive Race Plan can make. It is, in essence, the difference between winning and losing.

The client wanted to buy a horse from an upcoming sale to achieve a quick win or two.

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Case Study

The case study below will perfectly illustrate the difference that utilising a well-developed, comprehensive Race
Plan can make. It is,
in essence, the difference
between winning and
losing.

The client wanted to buy
a horse from an upcoming
sale to achieve a quick win
or two.

case-study

We identified the best available horse from the sale, one with 15lbs in hand. Before the client made his investment, we advised that this was a hardy one-paced horse that would stay 8.5 furlongs flat out, running at a good cruising speed.

Our research told us that this was a horse that would do best on an All-Weather track, and that it was unlikely to be capable of staying a full 10 furlongs.

We further advised that this prospect needed a sharp course that suits horses that make all or closely track the leaders.

The conclusion of our Race Plan was that for this horse to win, it would be ideally suited to running on an All-Weather track such as Wolverhampton, over 8.5 furlongs.

For their race strategy, the jockey should aim to get towards the front of the pack early and ideally go for home before or coming into the final turn.

case-study

We identified the best available horse from the sale, one with 15lbs in hand. Before the client made his investment, we advised that this was a hardy one-paced horse that would stay 8.5 furlongs flat out, running at a good cruising speed.

Our research told us that this was a horse that would do best on an All-Weather track, and that it was unlikely to be capable of staying a full 10 furlongs.

We further advised that this prospect needed a sharp course that suits horses that make all or closely track the leaders.

The conclusion of our Race Plan was that for this horse to win, it would be ideally suited to running on an All-Weather track such as Wolverhampton, over 8.5 furlongs.

For their race strategy, the jockey should aim to get towards the front of the pack early and ideally go for home before or coming into the final turn.

The conclusion of our Race Plan was that for this horse to win, it would be ideally suited to running on an All-Weather track such as Wolverhampton, over 8.5 furlongs.

For their race strategy, the jockey should aim to get towards the front of the pack early and ideally go for home before or coming into the final turn.

1st Race

In the first race, the horse ran at 6/1 odds, having been backed in from 12/1.

Instead of following the Race Plan to the letter, connections tried over 9.5 furlongs at Wolverhampton.

Although the course was right, they picked the wrong distance and the horse was overtaken late in the race, losing by ¾ of a length.

2nd Race

Connections then dropped the horse back in trip to run over 1 mile on Turf, reasoning that the mark was 10lbs lower than the all-weather rating.

The horse was now the 9/4 favourite because its improved form had been exposed in its last run.

The horse was beaten again, losing by a ½ length.

3rd Race

Because the horse had stayed strongly over 8 furlongs on Turf, the odds for this next race were 5/2 favourite.

Connections now stepped the horse up to a 10 furlong race on Turf.

Because this is not the horse’s preferred distance or ground, unfortunately it finished unplaced.

4th Race

For the fourth race, connections followed the Race Plan in terms of distance, entering it for the right trip of 8.5 furlongs.

BUT instead of holding out for an All-Weather race, the horse again ran on Turf because the mark was lower.

The horse finished unplaced once again.

5th Race

For the first time the Race Plan provided with the initial recommendations six months earlier was followed. The horse ran over the advised 8.5f at Wolverhampton. And the jockey followed the strategy provided in the Race Plan. 

THE HORSE WON EASILY AT 6/1.

6th Race

While the horse could easily have won again at Wolverhampton over 8.5 furlongs next time out, connections instead entered it over 8 furlongs at Kempton, which is not the recommended distance.

And while it was running on an All-Weather course, this is a galloping track that does not suit the horse’s run style.

As a result, the horse finished 3rd.

In summary, in the first six months of ownership, the horse ran six races.

Only one of these followed the course & distance entry plan.

On that occasion, the horse won easily.

The other five times, connections ran the horse over the wrong trip on courses and ground that didn’t suit it and the horse was beaten on every occasion.

That’s the difference that having an Entry & Race Plan makes.

Because if you fail to plan, then you plan to fail !

As a result, the horse was beaten on every occasion. That’s the difference that having a Race Plan can make. If you fail to plan, then you plan to fail!

PRE-ENTRY ANALYSIS

Natural run style analysis
Course for horse matching
Perfect distance assessment
Preferred Going suggestion

PRE-RACE PLANNING

Draw Bias plan
Race Pace Strategy
Competitor analysis
Wind & weather plan

COURSE FACTORS

Best Ground Analysis
Ideal Route plan
3D undulation mapping
Combined race calculation

IN-RACE STRATEGY

Race Start strategy
Pack Aerodynamics
Race finish strategy
Plan B for in-race issues

Take Advantage of a FREE Pre-Entry Analysis ​

For a limited period, we’re offering Trainers an absolutely FREE Pre-Entry Analysis for your first Horse!

This service is usually valued at £100.

All you’re required to do is send a quick message saying “FREE Pre-Entry analysis” and your horse’s name.

We then deliver our recommendations for the perfect distance, the best course, ideal draw, optimal in-race positioning & preferred going to significantly increase your horse’s winning chances.

Take Advantage of a FREE Pre-Entry Analysis ​

For a limited period, we’re offering Trainers an absolutely FREE Pre-Entry Analysis for your first Horse!

This service is usually valued at £100.

All you’re required to do is send a quick message saying “FREE Pre-Entry analysis” and your horse’s name.

We then deliver our recommendations for the perfect distance, the best course, ideal draw, optimal in-race positioning & preferred going to significantly increase your horse’s winning chances.

Take Advantage of a FREE Pre-Entry Analysis ​

For a limited period, we’re offering Trainers an absolutely FREE Pre-Entry Analysis for your first Horse!

This service is usually valued at £100.

All you’re required to do is send a quick message saying “FREE Pre-Entry analysis” and your horse’s name.

We then deliver our recommendations for the perfect distance, the best course, ideal draw, optimal in-race positioning & preferred going to significantly increase your horse’s winning chances.

Take Advantage of a FREE Pre-Entry Analysis ​

For a limited period, we’re offering Trainers an absolutely FREE Pre-Entry Analysis for your first Horse!

This service is usually valued at £100.

All you’re required to do is send a quick message saying “FREE Pre-Entry analysis” and your horse’s name.

We then deliver our recommendations for the perfect distance, the best course, ideal draw, optimal in-race positioning & preferred going to significantly increase your horse’s winning chances.